I did a sample test and the results were this: the primed panel and topcoat had almost twice (very subjective) the scratch resistance as the topcoat alone. Both test pieces were prepped with scotchbright. From these results I went ahead and primed before topcoating.
Film thickness
Consider the possibility that you got twice the scratch resistance because you had twice the film thickness.
Achieving a minimum dry film thickness is essential for optimum durability and hardness. With Matthews, for example, a single heavy pass is not enough. You need two wet coats with a flash in between to get the recommended dry film thickness.
When I paint factory coated aluminum with Matthews I don't count the factory coat as the "first pass." I still use the double wet coat method, essentially two coats, to achieve film thickness. However, I skip the Matthews primer.
I first discovered how film thickness affected hardness many years ago when sign shops in my area used Kem Lustral Gloss White as the finish coat of choice. Kem Lustral was a slow-drying "long oil" that had a high gloss and excellent hiding power. The standard operating procedure was to roller coat MDO board with a coat of blocking out white, which dried quickly, then finish coat with Kem Lustral. All my coating out was outside in my yard at that time, so if a panel got messed up by some dust or bugs, I sanded and applied a second finish coat. I was always amazed at how much harder the surface seemed after the additional topcoat, not to mention the increased gloss.
Comparing a primer plus a single topcoat versus a single topcoat by itself may not be a true 'apples to apples' comparison. Especially if all coats are relatively fresh and soft. The topcoat by itself may have seemed inferior because it was just too thin. Also, the hardness of some of the factory finishes can be a factor and may explain the better performance of a high bond primer applied between the factory coat and the topcoat. Of course, both of these things, the added film thickness and the hardness of the factory finish, are arguments for a high bond primer.
PVDF factory coatings
I believe that scuffing with a Scotchbrite is not always adequate prepping for coil-coated aluminum. Years ago it was common for a factory finish to be a cheaper polyester paint. You could wipe it down with lacquer thinner as a prep, which made it sticky to the touch, and a topcoat seemed to bond like crazy. More and more, though, the paint used on factory painted aluminum is Polyvinylidene Fluoride (PVDF). These coatings are extremely hard and require a thorough sanding for a top coat to achieve a good bond. The paint is so hard that metal painted with PVDF can be formed by machinery
after painting without damage to the paint film. It's the coating of choice for the metal roof industry. That's why my prep method of choice is 400-grit on a DA sander, so as to thoroughly and evenly cut the gloss. I sand till it's dead flat.
Brad in Kansas City