yup shrinkage is an issue, especially in the cold (sorry inappropriate joke there that I couldn't resist, watched too many episodes of Seinfeld!)....
But in seriousness, I probably wouldn't try it with a vinyl on ACM combo for the very reason you explained, but it's ideal for direct print to PVC/styrene and then to cutting after that. Direct print to rigid substrates won't allow for any warping of the print. If vinyl on ACM I'll usually plotter cut the vinyl, router cut the ACM and manually line up and apply the vinyl to the ACM, usually adding an outline/inline to the vinyl cut shape depending on if it's a full bleed finished product or not.
Also update on the LDF....so I've found it a few places, closest in NJ about 4 hours away from me. But after talking to a bunch of different people some suggest regular MDF instead of the lower density LDF....some say the LDF has better vacuum because of its low density, others say MDF holds tighter vacuum because of it's higher density....so since I can't get a straight answer from anybody I'm going to try it with MDF since I can grab a sheet of that from Lowe's quick/cheap. I'll try that and if I'm not getting the vacuum hold down I desire then I'll drive my sorry rear down to NJ and get a sheet of the LDF....I'll post back once I have results in case it helps anybody!