I grew pretty angry hearing the President yesterday repeat (again) the same tired, false equivalencies between COVID-19 and seasonal flu as a rationale for states and cities to lift their emergency restrictions. He even had the gall to work in car accident deaths (36,560 in 2018) as a sales pitch to spin these pandemic deaths as being a sort of "normal" thing for us to tolerate as we get back to business.
The chubby spray-tan guy (like so many people) casually mentions 40,000 flu-related deaths without bothering to consider the other variables in the equation, such as those 40,000 deaths being from roughly 80 million infections. The orange $#1+-gibbon clearly doesn't understand or care about math concepts like ratio and proportion. COVID-19 has a higher mortality rate even if the health care system is able to properly treat all serious cases. If 80 million Americans were to be infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus at least 500,000 of them would die of the COVID-19 illess. More likely our health care system would utterly collapse from the strain of patients. The death toll would rise to 1 or 2 million people, if not even higher.
Pneumonia is normally a treatable complication of respiratory infections like the flu or even COVID-19. Over in Italy pneumonia is becoming a death sentence for many patients. The hospitals don't have the capacity to treat every case. The situation is getting grim in Spain. Hospitals don't have enough beds. They're running out of supplies. Too many heath care workers on the front lines of this battle are getting infected and even dying. Those problems push the mortality rate of COVID-19 even higher.
Consider that math when people like Andrew Cuomo say as many as 70% of Americans could get infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus over the next several months. 70% of our population would be 231 million people. At just a 1% mortality rate that would be 2.3 million deaths. But with a collapsed health care system that death toll would more likely be in the 4%-10% range, or 9 million to 23 million deaths.
Lets also not forget that other health issues keep happening in the mean time. Deaths from heart disease, cancer, diabetes, etc would rise dramatically in a health care system overwhelmed with COVID-19 patients. America's suicide rate is already horrible, but it would get a lot worse in this scenario. Pregnancies would become far more dangerous for both mothers and unborn babies. And those car accidents would become a lot less survivable.