its all about data folks..
Sorry Phototec but i disagree -
Growth will attract new vendors just as most of you are thinking, but there's no way to guarantee that you're the only new vendor. In fact you could have ten new vendors in one year! In any rapidly growing market there will be existing vendors with established market share. Its expensive to enter into those markets as the old guard will not be very welcoming, and the new people havent built ties to the community. Add to that sky high rents, labor shortages, and in most cases shop space shortages. All that adds up to a money pit. Rapidly growing markets deteriorate rapidly. Boom Bust.
Better is to find a market that is depressed and unserved or underserved and likely to grow. For that you need data.
Look at the demographics of the community, look at the economic engines, and the real estate activity and trends.
Look at the building permits pulled and reasons for them. Look for remodels, not new construction. Look for sub $10,000 permit values. New home construction doesnt equal lots of plumbers and such needing to advertise, in fact its the opposite, service companies are generally called 5-10 years after the home sells, and the service sector is strongest in cities with a large base of existing older homes. Most new homes in high growth areas are built by corporations like KB and Lennar. No wraps sold there and the contractors are so busy they dont need the ad. Further they have home warranties and that translates into contracted work for service firms, again no ad.
Find a community with a fairly equal spread of population ages and incomes. Concentrated incomes in one segment can be harmful. Same for ages. Younger people (under 35) are more inclined to risky new business startups, often with family money, and they are more inclined to buy wraps, but reaching them is a challenge. Older folks (over 50) are the driving force in new business startups, but they are inherently conservative in the marketing aspect and are operating on rigid budgets.
Look for a community with a high prevalence of self employment - govt data will show you that. The data shows employers and self employed sole props.
Look for communities with a higher U6 unemployment rate (those out of work for 6 months or more), as they will likely have a segment of self employed people that have yet to file with any agency as a business. Each business, self employed or under employed person is a likely client.
Look at the chambers of commerce, the ad agencies, and the total number of design firms you can leverage. Youre trying to sell a $3-4000 item without financing in a town you're new to... its a big nut for small firms both financially and trust wise. Avoid bedroom communities and those with high government or single source employment concentration, and those with chambers that dont have a big body of active members. i.e if 30% of the town is employed by XYZ company, one shut down could kill the economy, and government budgets are always rocky to rely on.
50% of your business will come from people and businesses within 5 miles.
For signage - Look for a town with a solid commercial center and a sign shop to population ratio of 1:25,000 or better.
For wraps - you'll need at least twice that ratio (1:50,000) to specialize, but likely higher than 1:200,000. Otherwise you'll be doing banners and signs as much as wraps.
Example - my new market has just 4,000 businesses with employees, but 15,000 additional businesses are self employed people, and a total population of 125,000 with just 3 sign and wrap firms. so there's 1 shop to 40,000 people, 1 shop to every 1300 businesses with employees, and one shop to every 5,000 self employed folks. Theres easily room for a new shop. Probably room for three or more because of the high self employment numbers.
Lastly tour the area - look for the condition of commercial signs. These say a lot about every community. Lots of hand painting, faded graphics, or home made stuff may mean a shortage of professional shops, or a market so depressed or unappealing that no one serves it. Signs of vandalism will indicate the latter. While an economic opportunity may be made in a depressed market, it may be rife with challenges. If the market is just not served professionally, the opportunity is likely going to be successful.
Overall -remember that youre not looking for where the growth is now.. youre looking for where the economic growth WILL BE in 3-5 years.
I have started a number of shops with this method many times and it has worked. Its based on SBA and franchise site selection standards.